Monday, September 5, 2016

THE Y and the Y KNOT

Upfront apologies for the long post, I'll give you an Video at the Bottom...

What is it about the Interweb that no matter what subject you care put up in the Google ,, there are about a gazillon opinions,, and this I'll call it presidential election is creating even more content,,

Type in Why Rump will win,,,,  thousands of entries,Type in Why Rump will lose  and you get about Ten thousand more,,,,   all - well most making seemingly logical arguments why or why not something will happen,,,

As you may have guessed ,,, and maybe are still reading .... I am about to give you mine,,, what you should know 1st , is that even though  I am a Clinton supporter,, and a Rump Opponent.  I would be in favor of whatever Democrat they put up there,, because as the years go by ,, I  Simply do not believe in what Republicans believe in... I wonder what husbands and fathers say to their Daughters and wives about supporting someone who want to take away a right to govern their own bodies that has existed for year. If I understand the economic plan as the old trickle down theory,, where the rich get rich and the money eventually makes its way down to us.. I don't think that works.   any way lets get to it

Let me ask you a question  - how many people do you think are swayed by the ads and political campaigns, - I don't think that is very many,,, I believe most folks have their minds made up and its lets just get to the election,,, so I believe whatever the polls were 2 weeks after the conventions over and that showed the Dems with a  near double digit lead.

Do you think that MORE or LESS republicans will vote for Rump than voted for the past feW GOP candidates ? here again,,I think no matter what the Rump does fewer Republicans will vote for him that voted for PAST GOP candidates...   I'm a Data guy,, lets look at some dater (as some say) For Rump to win the election he needs All those who voted for Romney plus 5-8 million more,,, and those voters have to be is states like Ohio, Florida, Pennsylvania, Virginia,, etc,,,  where are those votes coming from ??  He as fewer in   Hispanics,  Fewer win Blacks, Fewer in women....  and we already said few Republicans in general..   

I believe that his weaknesses will be further illustrated by the Debates,.  Hillary will not get pulled into a war of Insults with him.  I guarantee that her people are looking for ways to needle him during the Debates to the point of Boiling over. Name calling won't work on this level, she will present a calm collected posture and make him look much less presidential... she will hit him on all his reversals,,, he touted that the 11 million illegals had to go,, even though we know that cant happen,,, building a wall ??  Seriously ,,  A ) Mexico has said they are not paying (like he said)  Private citizens own some of that land and they are not giving it up for him to build any wall,, his embargo Idea of imposing this on Mexican good into our country will not work. She will exploit his Bullshit stories about Russia and Putin. She will recall Kaizer Khan and that debacle.  She will reveal his out and out lies.   

I am saying now in Early September that it may not be a landslide victory,,,, but will be very convincing.  Polls be damned ,, it will be better than that.  Let's look back at the last election. Obama got Approx 66 million votes and Mitt 61 million... In the Republican primary 13 million people voted for Rump. and about 15 Million Republicans voted for someone else..  .  a little math. 13 million divided by  127 million total votes  = Rump got 10% of the votes necessary to WIN,,   That means Rump will need 53 Million / 43% of the country voting for him,  where are those votes coming from ??  Hispanics,, Blacks, Women, the South  ??  I sincerely doubt it.

Let me further state that it may be the end of the Republican party for years to come. We might be a 3 or 4 party system after this.  I think there will be the Rump brand supporters,, the Rest of the GOP party (A Little More Conservative- maybe they call themselves the LMC Party) .The Bernie sanders Socialists might also be able to run as another party from the Democrats.

The more real danger here is the rhetoric he was spouting in Pennsylvania, that the election is Rigged ... Can you imagine a Post election campaign that our Presidential election system is "truly corrupt". Not the BS he he has been talking (although I am not sure how to tell the difference) But a real calling into question the Process, and IF the Presidential election process is "rigged" then everything else falls to question from that to Congressional, Senate,  right down to dog catcher elections,,,  Seriously can you see Rump conceding the election to Hillary.  Can you hear that speech ? Or can you hear Dickhead saying well folks it was rigged from the beginning,, the Insiders stuffed the ballot boxes and Elected Hillary and we need to look seriously at the process because its corrupt.  I can hear that outta his Bullshitting mouth. Do you know that in 1960 - Nixon lost to Kennedy,  you knew that . IT was a very close election. Did you know that Nixon - yes Tricky Dick- Stopped a challenge to the results, conceded the election to Kennedy because he thought there should be a clear progression line from president  to President and not a question in the mind of the country and the world aas to show the next President was.  Some how I don't see that type of Patriotism from RUMP.





 

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