Thursday, August 5, 2021

Stop it !

 All right - I keep hearing the Yankee Announcers talk about them going on a "run" and winning the AL East... I do Like Michael Kay  and Paul O'neill .... however... Let's get real and take a look at how that would have to happen.....

The Tampa Bay Rays are in 1st place they have a record of 65 and 44 or a .596 willing percentage.. 

the Yanks are in 3rd place  - 6 games behind them at 58 and 49 or .542 win percentage.. 

 the Rays have 53 games left to play... Let's say they play those game a little worse pace than the 4th place  Blue jays.. let's use .525 win percentage...  53 x .525 = 27.8 - we will round up to 28 wins and 25 losses...

That means  the Yankees would have to play 7 games better than that.

The Yanks have 55 games left... so while the Rays must only win 28 of it games the Yanks would have to win 35 and lose only 20 !! Thats a .640 winning percentage ......  

and let me remind you that the BEST TEAM right now in the Majors is the San Francisco Giants at 68 and 40 - that's .630 .....  SO - STOP IT !! the Yankees are NOT winning the American League East  ! 

 .... the AL looks like this 

Tamp Bay or Boston wins the AL east - the other team is the 1st Wild Card.

White Sox win the Central 

Astros win the West 

Oakland  / New York / Toronto / Seattle are all in it to win the 2nd Wild card. 

So that the Wild Card "Play in Game" would be Tampa or Boston hosting one of the other teams in a one game play-off to get to the Division series..

We have 2 more games to attend - the Twins later this month and the last game of the Year against the Rays... yet to be seen of that game will mean anything to either team... but that last series might. The Red Sox have a MUCH easier last few games with 3 against Baltimore and 3 .vs The Nationals.... Tampa is at Houston and then NY for their last 6 ... NY finish at Toronto and then Host Tampa... 


Grace Potter


Eddie Vedder



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